Opportunity missed by Derby County in January - but don't put all the blame on the manager
MIDDLESBROUGH arrived at Pride Park on New Year's Day as the third-best team in the Championship, according to the table.
Ninety-plus minutes later they had been dismantled 3-1 by Derby County.
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Derby County players celebrating after scoring one of the three goals they scored in the defeat of Middlesbrough on New Year's Day. Since that time, only 10 weeks ago, the Rams have had rather less to celebrate.
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Derby County manager Nigel Clough.
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Will Hughes (left) has made a big impact in his debut season, while Paul Coutts (right) has hit peaks and troughs.
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Michael Jacobs and Jeff Hendrick scored in the first half before Conor Sammon finished off some excellent work by Will Hughes and Jacobs to make it 3-0 after 65 minutes.
As Sammon's finish ripped high into the net, delight and optimism swept around the stadium.
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Victory left Derby 10th, only three points adrift of the top six.
Only a couple of blips result-wise against Burnley and Hull City had scarred their eye-catching home form.
Middlesbrough joined Watford, Blackpool, Birmingham City and Leeds United on a list of teams dispatched thanks to high-energy displays.
And the display against Boro was up there with the best of them.
Not a boo nor chunter was heard.
The only sound was the standing ovation on the final whistle.
Was that only 10 weeks ago?
Derby have won only one of their 11 League games since and that was against struggling Huddersfield Town at home.
The Rams have gone eight matches without a victory, the current longest winless run in the division.
Eight points from 33 have seen them slip to 15th and the gap between themselves and the top six, once three points, is now 12.
Nottingham Forest and Brighton sat alongside Derby on 37 points after the round of fixtures on January 1. Forest are now sixth on 57 points and Brighton a point behind in seventh. Derby have 45 points.
Plenty has changed in football down the years but there is an old adage that says a team should strengthen from a position of strength.
Opportunity stared Derby in the face after the Middlesbrough victory.
It was an opportunity that should have been spotted and acted on – but the opportunity was missed.
Derby needed to bolster the squad in January.
They needed to inject more experience, a couple of players in key central positions with the know-how to help the younger, less experienced players when things get tough, as they did after an hour at Birmingham on Saturday.
In that moment, Derby needed more players on the pitch who could steady the ship as the Birmingham storm gathered strength.
When the storm blew at its fiercest, they had only three players on the field older than 26.
This is not a case of being wise after the event.
On January 8, I wrote: "Nigel Clough's young team is developing nicely. They are within touching distance of the top six and a good bet to record the club's highest-placed finish since 2007.
"Rather than losing a player or two, the small squad would actually benefit from the addition of a new face or two.
"An awful lot is being asked of such a young squad. The players are giving their all and to be 10th and in a position of promise is an excellent effort in a demanding environment such as the Championship."
January is not the best time to bring in new faces but the reasons Derby needed them were clear when you analysed the size of the squad and the shortage of experience, know-how, call it what you want, within the team.
A small group of players, many of them young in age and the number of games they have played, have carried the burden of a relentless season on their shoulders.
They have done so with great credit but the demands have caught up with them, as was always likely.
The stresses and strains of playing 35 consecutive first-team games at 17 have sidelined Will Hughes.
John Brayford had not missed a minute of 38 games when his hamstring went and he has joined Hughes on the sidelines.
Jeff Hendrick and Paul Coutts, neither of them seasoned campaigners at Championship level, have had peaks and troughs of form.
Jamie Ward has suffered with hamstring problems, Conor Sammon is tasting football in this division for the first time, as are Adam Legzdins and Michael Jacobs, while first-team football is still very new to Kieron Freeman, Michael Hoganson, Mason Bennett and Conor Doyle.
Craig Bryson and Mark O'Brien have had to play at times when not fully fit and the impact of being without the club's best defender, Shaun Barker, has been felt with each passing month.
A squad's frailties start to show up more and more as a season unfolds.
Scratch the surface and Derby's squad looks thin.
There have been a number of impressive performances and extremely close matches in the current run of poor results and luck has been in short supply.
A couple of crucial decisions went against the Rams when they met leaders Cardiff in South Wales last week and they could easily have returned with three points and not one.
Derby's first-choice 11, when fully fit and firing on all cylinders, are capable of going toe-to-toe with any team in the division, as we have seen, but that could never last for the whole nine months.
Clough has said many times that Derby need to be at their best to get results.
This is not a gripe because Derby are absent from the top six and not challenging for promotion because a realistic aim this season was a top-10 finish.
This is more about a missed opportunity to remain competitive in the top 10.
There is still time for that to change.
There are 27 points to play for but the first task for Derby is to collect enough to keep clear of the battle below them.
The manager is taking flak from some supporters, as happens in football.
All managers are under pressure and the amount of pressure is dictated by results but much of the criticism of Clough is harsh.
He has had to work within a tight budget when compared with the spending of other clubs in terms of signing and wages.
Like it or not, money talks.
There are one or two examples to the contrary but, generally speaking, and certainly over 46 matches, investment in the squad is a huge factor.
The table shows this.
Cardiff, Hull, Leicester City and Nottingham Forest occupy play-off places, while Brighton, Bolton Wanderers, Middlesbrough and Leeds have eyes on the top six.
All have invested more heavily in their squads than Derby.
Watford's case is different. They have mounted their challenge by taking advantage of a loophole. Good luck to them.
But the Championship is not a level playing field and Clough's team seems to be kicking uphill.
Derby's ownership group continues to bankroll the club significantly to meet shortfalls year on year, as the balance sheet shows, but are they willing to push the boat out further when it comes to investment in the squad?
The squad contains a number of talented young players who should improve and become stronger with the experience gained this season.
The squad does, however, need to be supplemented by a number of good, solid Championship players who know the division.
This is where investment comes in.
The patience of some Derby supporters is wearing thin. In some cases it has snapped, as we have read and heard in recent days.
Fans are pointing the finger of blame and flak is being aimed at Clough but it is grossly unfair to lay the blame solely at the manager's door.




27 Comments
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by WIKLOW
Friday, March 15 2013, 12:59PM
“I dont just blame the manager - I blame his assistants for their part and also the failure of the owners and Sam slow to get a fresh approach. Quoffing large salaries while the club declines under poor management. Get in Gordon Ramsey (not as a defender although he would be better than some we have) to sort the lack of direction out.
The simple solution is a fresh approach with new ideas, unitl then it will be more of the same.”
by NorwegianRams
Thursday, March 14 2013, 11:13PM
“I would have been very negative and worried if we havent played well this year.
But we have been playing really well, and I am positive and optimistic because of that.
I used to watch Derby County at norwegian TV years before Nigel Clough became the manager. I was really worried, because we didnt do anything else than working hard in defence to try to avoid goals against us.
These days we are playing offensive attractive football and have been very unlucky. I like the way we play, and I look very much forward to the next match. Saturday I will watch Derby beat Leicester at norwegian TV, and the second of April we will beat Leeds at norwegian tv.
I think our team today is better than when we got promoted last time, and that we play better football today than we did in the PL last time.
Derby County is a big team in Norway with a lot of fans - it started especially after the big sucsess in the 72/73 and 74/75 season when we were the best team in England, and today many are following this great club - a club with the best supporters in England. Its my favourite team, will allways be and I strongly believe Nigel Clough will - given enough money to buy only 1-2 good players this summer - take this team to one of the topspots of the championship and lead us in the Premier League. We belong there. We are already today a bigger club than many of the PL's team.”
by paul72
Thursday, March 14 2013, 8:30PM
“I totally agree Steve we have a small squad that's why it was important to bring in 2or 3 experienced players in a centreback and a leftback would of been on my list Roberts allows. oppositions wingers to get there crosses in to easy! needed to be high quality and this board won't put in money Nigel has had is hands tired but is the scapegoat for these new amigos who expect silk out of a pigs ear ! Martin and Forsyth are stop gaps who don't improve the overall quality but they are on the cheap !”
by Tadley-Rams
Thursday, March 14 2013, 6:47PM
“Ibelieveido - every one wanted Clough to suceed, the fact is he hasn't and isnt. You can have ago at the supporters all you want for moaning, Derby supporters on the whole have been extremely patient of him, other clubs would have had him long gone by now.”
by B4_lives
Thursday, March 14 2013, 3:48PM
“Woah there.... If Keown is playing too then that's too many OAPs for me. I'm happy for him to stick to the punditry ;-)
But yes, Keogh with an experienced leader could be good. These players are out there, it's whether we have inclination to choose that route?”
by Derby_Stu
Thursday, March 14 2013, 3:43PM
“Imagine if we could get in a Paul Mcgrath type now? I reckon he'd sort Keown out (who I think would play better alongside an experienced defender) and marshall the back four to be a unit again.”
by B4_lives
Thursday, March 14 2013, 2:38PM
“Yep, some experience would be great.
Not that it will happen but imagine if we had the clout and ability to sell the 'Derby plan' to 1/2 experienced stars to help guide us in the right direction - goal of promotion attempt. And by this I don't mean experience like Laurent Robert etc or even Robbie Savage, who at least tried. I mean someone like Phil Neville. Not a world beater but someone is experienced, match fit and bothered enough to do something positive before retiring. Phil sat in front of the defence organising, talking and coaching would be good. Not saying it has to be Neville but that that 'type'. Add that to an experienced forward or centre half and we're going places.
I know wages etc might prevent this but there as to be a way. Offer a step up in the coaching world etc?
Don't know how but it'd be my personal strategy as above and mix up the youth who'd no doubt benefit from the experience. It could work out cheaper than buying 5/6 average players per season.
At least it'd be a transparent and positive step and could work in tandem with the current philosophy.”
by denhaagram
Thursday, March 14 2013, 1:37PM
“B4 - good post
Ibelieveido - I certainly don't view myself as a Clough basher - and rarely post on this forum because often the posts are basically idiotic rubbish and not worthy of comment. I am also one of those who does not boo - at all, ever... It doesn't help the team and I don't condone it. As far as Conor Sammon - he does offer something to the team in terms of work rate - but it is a simple fact that he hasn't scored enough goals and doesn't hold the ball up well enough to bring others into play. Do I blame NC for this? No - all signings are a gamble - and maybe next season, starting afresh, Conor can go on to be the next Steve Howard. I would look to the manager to recognise when a player is struggling and perhaps take him out of the firing line for a while - rebuild his confidence a little and bring him back stronger.
I do, however, believe that we lack ambition, that both the board and the manager must take some responsibility for the situation we find ourselves in - injuries happen to all clubs, and yes it will affect results, but my post goes way beyond the recent results - they are "root and branch" failings - poor tactical substitutions, no profit on players and limited scouting network are signs that neither the club nor the manager are as developed as we hoped, or perhaps expected after 4 years.
There can be no doubt that the youth policy is and will continue to work well but you cannot build a squad of players capable of pushing for promotion from youth team ranks alone. We have to be able to supplement youth with some experienced players - on loan, or perhaps heading to the last couple of seasons of their career. Someone posted recently we need the Dave Mackay type of figure (or Igor Stimac / Paul Mcgrath etc) to help build confidence with the younger players and I couldn't agree more -now that would show some ambition wouldn't it?”
by B4_lives
Thursday, March 14 2013, 1:17PM
“Now, now Peeps!
I'm not actually pessimistic about Saturday tbh.
It'll be tough but there's a lot pressure on Leicester too. Their form is erratic but not ****. They're solid but have good forwards. But for me, big Wes is always there to be exploited. If Ward plays I'd put him straight into Morgan as he'd terrorise him. The game is there to be won and ill settle for a point - but we should aim for 3. We played well away at Leicester for 60 mins but that game is the perfect analogy for our season. They scored the majority of their chances and we couldn't turn good passing and possession into goals.
And that's why I'm not totally p1ssed off yet. If we sort it out up front wed be really competitive. That it turn would take the heat off the defence. BUT if we ALSO had more quality down the whole central spine we'd be successful.”
by Peeps
Thursday, March 14 2013, 1:06PM
“Good post b4 .what do you mean IF”